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Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
Breidablik vs Keflavik prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Breidablik host Keflavik in the Úrvalsdeild (Iceland) on 11 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Breidablik 3–1 Keflavik.
Going into the match, Breidablik had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Keflavik had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Breidablik's last 10 and 6 of Keflavik's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Breidablik averaged 2.33 goals scored and 1.75 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Keflavik averaged 1.33 scored and 2.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.28 goals from Breidablik and 1.35 from Keflavik. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 21%, against 50%, 23% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Breidablik (green) and Keflavik (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breidablik | LWWLL | 1.50 | 2.10 | 70% | 70% |
| Keflavik | DLLLW | 1.70 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Jul 2026 · Breidablik 2–1 Keflavik
- 22 Apr 2026 · Keflavik 0–0 Breidablik
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.20 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 75% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.25 |
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 1.36 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Breidablik Win | 49% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.