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1st League - FBiH · Bosnia
Bratstvo Gračanica vs TOŠK Tešanj prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bratstvo Gračanica host TOŠK Tešanj in the 1st League - FBiH (Bosnia) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Bratstvo Gračanica Win — Bratstvo Gračanica to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bratstvo Gračanica had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 11. TOŠK Tešanj had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Bratstvo Gračanica's last 10 and 3 of TOŠK Tešanj's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bratstvo Gračanica averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home TOŠK Tešanj averaged 0.71 scored and 1.71 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Bratstvo Gračanica and 0.85 from TOŠK Tešanj. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 24%, against 55%, 25% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bratstvo Gračanica (green) and TOŠK Tešanj (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bratstvo Gračanica | DDDWL | 1.40 | 1.10 | 60% | 50% |
| TOŠK Tešanj | WWLLL | 1.10 | 1.40 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Bratstvo Gračanica Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Bratstvo Gračanica HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.