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National League - South · England
Braintree vs Truro City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Braintree host Truro City in the National League - South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Braintree 1–2 Truro City.
Going into the match, Braintree had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 20. Truro City had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Braintree's last 10 and 6 of Truro City's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Braintree averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Truro City averaged 1.13 scored and 0.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.76 goals from Braintree and 2.05 from Truro City. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 67%, against 21%, 23% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braintree | LLLWD | 1.90 | 2.00 | 80% | 90% |
| Truro City | DWWWD | 1.90 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Truro City Win | 57% | 1.60 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.