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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A · Portugal
Bragança vs Montalegre prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bragança host Montalegre in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bragança 0–2 Montalegre.
Going into the match, Bragança had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 6. Montalegre had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5, with 5 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Bragança's last 10 and 2 of Montalegre's last 5; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bragança averaged 2.29 goals scored and 0.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Montalegre averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 2.
The 1X2 prices imply about 51% for Bragança, 28% for the draw and 21% for Montalegre once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bragança (green) and Montalegre (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bragança | WWWWD | 2.00 | 0.60 | 40% | 40% |
| Montalegre | DDDWD | 1.00 | 0.60 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 56% | 1.65 |
| Bragança Win | 51% | 1.75 |
| Bragança HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.