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National League - North · England
Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brackley Town host Spennymoor Town in the National League - North (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brackley Town 2–1 Spennymoor Town.
Going into the match, Brackley Town had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 19. Spennymoor Town had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Brackley Town's last 10 and 8 of Spennymoor Town's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brackley Town averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Spennymoor Town averaged 1.57 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.68 goals from Brackley Town and 1.46 from Spennymoor Town. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 33%, against 45%, 26% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brackley Town | LWDWL | 0.90 | 1.90 | 40% | 50% |
| Spennymoor Town | WDWDL | 1.60 | 2.00 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.