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FA Cup · England
Brackley Town vs Chelmsford City prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Brackley Town host Chelmsford City in the FA Cup (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Brackley Town 0–2 Chelmsford City.
Going into the match, Brackley Town had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 18. Chelmsford City had won 2, drawn 8 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Brackley Town's last 10 and 6 of Chelmsford City's last 10; 5 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Brackley Town averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Chelmsford City averaged 1.70 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.68 goals from Brackley Town and 1.63 from Chelmsford City. From that it rates a home win at 14%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 59%, against 36%, 28% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Brackley Town (green) and Chelmsford City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brackley Town | WDWLL | 1.00 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
| Chelmsford City | DWDDD | 1.00 | 0.80 | 60% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Brackley Town Win | 36% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.