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Serie D - Girone A · Italy
Bra vs Saluzzo prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bra host Saluzzo in the Serie D - Girone A (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.38, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bra 1–1 Saluzzo.
Going into the match, Bra had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 14. Saluzzo had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bra's last 10 and 6 of Saluzzo's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bra averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Saluzzo averaged 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.06 goals from Bra and 1.02 from Saluzzo. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 33%, against 33%, 30% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bra (green) and Saluzzo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.58 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.18 |
| Saluzzo Win | 37% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.