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Copa do Brasil U20 · Brazil
Botafogo U20 vs Bahia U20 prediction and preview
8 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Botafogo U20 host Bahia U20 in the Copa do Brasil U20 (Brazil) on 8 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.56, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Botafogo U20 1–0 Bahia U20.
Going into the match, Botafogo U20 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Bahia U20 had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 53 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Botafogo U20's last 10 and 4 of Bahia U20's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Botafogo U20 averaged 2.36 goals scored and 0.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Bahia U20 averaged 2.27 scored and 1.07 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.40 goals from Botafogo U20 and 2.06 from Bahia U20. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 34%, against 47%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Botafogo U20 (green) and Bahia U20 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo U20 | WLLLW | 1.90 | 1.10 | 40% | 60% |
| Bahia U20 | WLWWW | 5.30 | 1.10 | 40% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Apr 2026 · Botafogo U20 1–0 Bahia U20
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Botafogo U20 Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.