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Serie B · Brazil
Botafogo SP vs Ceara prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Botafogo SP host Ceara in the Serie B (Brazil) on 13 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Botafogo SP 1–0 Ceara.
Going into the match, Botafogo SP had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 16. Ceara had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Botafogo SP's last 10 and 6 of Ceara's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Botafogo SP averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Ceara averaged 0.94 scored and 1.47 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Botafogo SP and 0.97 from Ceara. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 27%, against 46%, 29% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Botafogo SP (green) and Ceara (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo SP | WLWDL | 0.90 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
| Ceara | WWDWD | 1.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Ceara 0–1 Botafogo SP
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Botafogo SP Win | 45% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.