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Primera División · Uruguay
Boston River vs Juventud prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Boston River host Juventud in the Primera División (Uruguay) on 4 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Boston River 0–0 Juventud.
Going into the match, Boston River had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Juventud had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Boston River's last 10 and 3 of Juventud's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Boston River averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Juventud averaged 1.21 scored and 1.21 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Boston River and 1.12 from Juventud. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 36%, against 36%, 28% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Boston River (green) and Juventud (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | LWLLW | 1.40 | 1.30 | 60% | 50% |
| Juventud | DWWDD | 1.30 | 0.80 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.