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1. Lig · Turkey
Boluspor vs Vanspor FK prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Boluspor host Vanspor FK in the 1. Lig (Turkey) on 23 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Boluspor had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 22. Vanspor FK had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Boluspor's last 10 and 6 of Vanspor FK's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Boluspor averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Vanspor FK averaged 1.88 scored and 2.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Boluspor and 1.25 from Vanspor FK. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 43%, against 21%, 25% and 55% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Boluspor (green) and Vanspor FK (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boluspor | LLLDL | 0.30 | 2.20 | 30% | 40% |
| Vanspor FK | LWLLD | 1.00 | 2.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Vanspor FK Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.