Home › League stats › Championship › Bolton vs Stoke City
Championship · England
Bolton vs Stoke City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bolton host Stoke City in the Championship (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bolton 1–2 Stoke City.
Going into the match, Bolton had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 16. Stoke City had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Bolton's last 10 and 7 of Stoke City's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bolton averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Stoke City averaged 0.86 scored and 2.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.35 goals from Bolton and 1.13 from Stoke City. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 30%, against 35%, 28% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bolton (green) and Stoke City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | WWLLL | 1.20 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Stoke City | WWDWW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.