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USL League One · USA
Boise vs Greenville Triumph prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Boise host Greenville Triumph in the USL League One (USA) on 3 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Boise Win — Boise to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Boise 1–0 Greenville Triumph.
Going into the match, Boise had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 11. Greenville Triumph had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Boise's last 10 and 6 of Greenville Triumph's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Boise averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Greenville Triumph averaged 0.50 scored and 2.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.22 goals from Boise and 0.85 from Greenville Triumph. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 12%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Boise (green) and Greenville Triumph (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise | LDDWW | 1.70 | 1.10 | 70% | 60% |
| Greenville Triumph | LLLLL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Jul 2026 · Greenville Triumph 3–2 Boise
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Boise Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.65 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| Boise HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
| 2-0 | 11% | 8.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.