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FAI Cup · Ireland
Bohemians vs Waterford prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bohemians host Waterford in the FAI Cup (Ireland) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bohemians 0–2 Waterford.
Going into the match, Bohemians had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 13. Waterford had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Bohemians's last 10 and 5 of Waterford's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bohemians averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Waterford averaged 1.45 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.11 goals from Bohemians and 1.52 from Waterford. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 27%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bohemians (green) and Waterford (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Waterford 3–1 Bohemians
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Bohemians Win | 58% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.