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Czech Liga · Czech Republic
Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bohemians 1905 host Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Liga (Czech Republic) on 14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bohemians 1905 1–0 Mlada Boleslav.
Going into the match, Bohemians 1905 had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. Mlada Boleslav had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Bohemians 1905's last 10 and 3 of Mlada Boleslav's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bohemians 1905 averaged 1.29 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Mlada Boleslav averaged 1.71 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.08 goals from Bohemians 1905 and 1.24 from Mlada Boleslav. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 39%, against 43%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bohemians 1905 (green) and Mlada Boleslav (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 | WWDLW | 1.70 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
| Mlada Boleslav | LWWWL | 2.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.