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Primera B · Colombia
Bogota FC vs Envigado prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bogota FC host Envigado in the Primera B (Colombia) on 5 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bogota FC 3–3 Envigado.
Going into the match, Bogota FC had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Envigado had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Bogota FC's last 10 and 4 of Envigado's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bogota FC averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Envigado averaged 1.17 scored and 1.58 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.69 goals from Bogota FC and 0.93 from Envigado. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 38%, against 33%, 31% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bogota FC (green) and Envigado (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.67 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Envigado Win | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| 0-0 | 16% | 6.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.