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UEFA Champions League · International
Bodo/Glimt vs Borussia Dortmund prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bodo/Glimt host Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bodo/Glimt 1–0 Borussia Dortmund.
Going into the match, Bodo/Glimt had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 30 and conceding 16. Borussia Dortmund had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Bodo/Glimt's last 10 and 6 of Borussia Dortmund's last 10; 10 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bodo/Glimt averaged 2.88 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Borussia Dortmund averaged 1.82 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Bodo/Glimt and 1.23 from Borussia Dortmund. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 31%, against 32%, 23% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bodo/Glimt (green) and Borussia Dortmund (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | WWLWL | 3.00 | 1.60 | 70% | 100% |
| Borussia Dortmund | DWWWW | 2.50 | 1.20 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.