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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Boca Unidos vs Bartolomé Mitre prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Boca Unidos host Bartolomé Mitre in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Boca Unidos to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Boca Unidos 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre.
Going into the match, Boca Unidos had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Bartolomé Mitre had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 4 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Boca Unidos's last 10 and 2 of Bartolomé Mitre's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Boca Unidos averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Bartolomé Mitre averaged 0.80 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Boca Unidos and 0.50 from Bartolomé Mitre. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 35% and an away win at 15%, against 49%, 29% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 85%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Boca Unidos (green) and Bartolomé Mitre (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Unidos | DLWDW | 1.60 | 1.30 | 40% | 60% |
| Bartolomé Mitre | DWLLL | 0.40 | 1.10 | 20% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 31 May 2026 · Boca Unidos 2–1 Bartolomé Mitre
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.50 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Boca Unidos Win | 49% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.