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Liga Leumit · Israel
Bnei Yehuda vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bnei Yehuda host Maccabi Kiryat Gat in the Liga Leumit (Israel) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bnei Yehuda 2–1 Maccabi Kiryat Gat.
Going into the match, Bnei Yehuda had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 9. Maccabi Kiryat Gat had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 7, with 6 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Bnei Yehuda's last 10 and 3 of Maccabi Kiryat Gat's last 7; 6 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bnei Yehuda averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Maccabi Kiryat Gat averaged 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Bnei Yehuda and 0.69 from Maccabi Kiryat Gat. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 17%, against 69%, 20% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bnei Yehuda (green) and Maccabi Kiryat Gat (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bnei Yehuda | WDWDW | 2.20 | 0.90 | 70% | 60% |
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | LWLDD | 0.86 | 1.00 | 43% | 14% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Bnei Yehuda Win | 69% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Bnei Yehuda HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.