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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Blauw Geel vs UNA prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Blauw Geel host UNA in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Blauw Geel to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Blauw Geel 1–1 UNA.
Going into the match, Blauw Geel had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 18. UNA had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Blauw Geel's last 10 and 10 of UNA's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Blauw Geel averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home UNA averaged 1.38 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Blauw Geel and 1.21 from UNA. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 33%, against 39%, 24% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Blauw Geel (green) and UNA (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blauw Geel | LWWDL | 1.40 | 1.80 | 60% | 70% |
| UNA | DLLDD | 1.40 | 1.80 | 100% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Blauw Geel 0–2 UNA
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Double Chance 1X | 63% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.68 |
| Blauw Geel Win | 39% | 2.30 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.