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EFL Trophy · England
Blackpool vs Crewe prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Blackpool host Crewe in the EFL Trophy (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Blackpool 2–2 Crewe.
Going into the match, Blackpool had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 21. Crewe had won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Blackpool's last 10 and 8 of Crewe's last 10; 9 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Blackpool averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Crewe averaged 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Blackpool and 1.76 from Crewe. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 35%, against 55%, 23% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Blackpool (green) and Crewe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Blackpool Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.