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League Two · China
BIT vs Chengdu Rongcheng II prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
BIT host Chengdu Rongcheng II in the League Two (China) on 6 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: BIT 2–0 Chengdu Rongcheng II.
Going into the match, BIT had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 21. Chengdu Rongcheng II had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of BIT's last 10 and 5 of Chengdu Rongcheng II's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home BIT averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Chengdu Rongcheng II averaged 0.30 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.48 goals from BIT and 1.08 from Chengdu Rongcheng II. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 27%, against 21%, 27% and 52% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between BIT (green) and Chengdu Rongcheng II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIT | LWWDW | 1.10 | 2.10 | 50% | 60% |
| Chengdu Rongcheng II | DDLDW | 1.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng II Win | 52% | 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.75 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Chengdu Rongcheng II HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.