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2. SNL · Slovenia
Bistrica vs Rudar prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bistrica host Rudar in the 2. SNL (Slovenia) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bistrica 3–1 Rudar.
Going into the match, Bistrica had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Rudar had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bistrica's last 10 and 5 of Rudar's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bistrica averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Rudar averaged 1.25 scored and 2.13 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from Bistrica and 1.56 from Rudar. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 33%, against 47%, 25% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bistrica (green) and Rudar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Bistrica Win | 47% | 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.