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Championship · England
Birmingham vs Preston prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Birmingham host Preston in the Championship (England) on 13 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Birmingham 4–0 Preston.
Going into the match, Birmingham had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 17. Preston had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Birmingham's last 10 and 6 of Preston's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Birmingham averaged 1.90 goals scored and 1.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Preston averaged 1.27 scored and 2.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.95 goals from Birmingham and 0.69 from Preston. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 13% and an away win at 5%, against 58%, 25% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Birmingham (green) and Preston (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | WDWLD | 1.40 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
| Preston | LDLLW | 0.80 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Apr 2026 · Birmingham 2–1 Preston
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Birmingham Win | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.