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USL Championship · USA
Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Birmingham Legion host Loudoun United in the USL Championship (USA) on 18 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Birmingham Legion 0–0 Loudoun United.
Going into the match, Birmingham Legion had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 22. Loudoun United had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Birmingham Legion's last 10 and 5 of Loudoun United's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Birmingham Legion averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Loudoun United averaged 0.93 scored and 1.53 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Birmingham Legion and 1.17 from Loudoun United. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 26%, against 45%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Birmingham Legion (green) and Loudoun United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham Legion | WLWLD | 1.90 | 2.20 | 60% | 80% |
| Loudoun United | LWDWL | 1.30 | 1.50 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Birmingham Legion 1–1 Loudoun United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.69 |
| Birmingham Legion Win | 47% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 36% | 2.62 |
| Birmingham Legion HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.