Home › League stats › National League - South › Billericay Town vs Farnborough
National League - South · England
Billericay Town vs Farnborough prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Billericay Town host Farnborough in the National League - South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Billericay Town 4–0 Farnborough.
Going into the match, Billericay Town had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 17. Farnborough had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Billericay Town's last 10 and 3 of Farnborough's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Billericay Town averaged 2.22 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Farnborough averaged 2.09 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.02 goals from Billericay Town and 1.00 from Farnborough. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 17%, against 49%, 24% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billericay Town | WLWDW | 2.00 | 1.70 | 70% | 80% |
| Farnborough | DLDLL | 0.80 | 1.60 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.