Home › League stats › Coppa Italia Serie D › Biellese vs Alessandria
Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy
Biellese vs Alessandria prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Biellese host Alessandria in the Coppa Italia Serie D (Italy) on 7 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Biellese 3–2 Alessandria.
Going into the match, Biellese had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Alessandria had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 6, with 12 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Biellese's last 10 and 5 of Alessandria's last 6; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Biellese averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Alessandria averaged 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.38 goals from Biellese and 1.97 from Alessandria. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 32%, against 41%, 28% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biellese | WWDWW | 1.80 | 1.20 | 80% | 60% |
| Alessandria | WWWLW | 2.00 | 1.33 | 83% | 83% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Biellese Win | 41% | 2.20 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.