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Regionalliga - Nordost · Germany
BFC Preussen vs Hertha BSC II prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
BFC Preussen host Hertha BSC II in the Regionalliga - Nordost (Germany) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — BFC Preussen to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.37, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: BFC Preussen 1–1 Hertha BSC II.
Going into the match, BFC Preussen had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 16. Hertha BSC II had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of BFC Preussen's last 10 and 6 of Hertha BSC II's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home BFC Preussen averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Hertha BSC II averaged 0.89 scored and 1.67 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from BFC Preussen and 0.93 from Hertha BSC II. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 22%, against 43%, 22% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between BFC Preussen (green) and Hertha BSC II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Preussen | LDWWD | 1.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
| Hertha BSC II | DWLLL | 0.90 | 1.70 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.32 |
| Double Chance 1X | 65% | 1.37 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 65% | 1.41 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 48% | 1.91 |
| BFC Preussen Win | 43% | 2.09 |
| 1-1 | 11% | 8.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.