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1st Division · Albania
Besa Kavajë vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Besa Kavajë host Iliria Fushë-Krujë in the 1st Division (Albania) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.81, which the bookmaker market rated at about 51% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Besa Kavajë 2–0 Iliria Fushë-Krujë.
Going into the match, Besa Kavajë had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 9. Iliria Fushë-Krujë had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Besa Kavajë's last 10 and 7 of Iliria Fushë-Krujë's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Besa Kavajë averaged 2.29 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Iliria Fushë-Krujë averaged 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Besa Kavajë and 0.75 from Iliria Fushë-Krujë. From that it rates a home win at 64%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 13%, against 54%, 26% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Besa Kavajë (green) and Iliria Fushë-Krujë (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Besa Kavajë | WLWWD | 2.50 | 0.90 | 60% | 70% |
| Iliria Fushë-Krujë | WDDWD | 1.60 | 1.20 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 7 May 2026 · Iliria Fushë-Krujë 0–2 Besa Kavajë
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.37 |
| Besa Kavajë Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.81 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Besa Kavajë HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.