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Challenge Cup · Scotland
Berwick Rangers vs Queen of the South prediction and preview
13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Berwick Rangers host Queen of the South in the Challenge Cup (Scotland) on 13 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Berwick Rangers 1–0 Queen of the South.
Going into the match, Berwick Rangers had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 23. Queen of the South had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Berwick Rangers's last 10 and 8 of Queen of the South's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Berwick Rangers averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Queen of the South averaged 1.36 scored and 2.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Berwick Rangers and 2.19 from Queen of the South. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 49%, against 14%, 16% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Berwick Rangers (green) and Queen of the South (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berwick Rangers | LLWDL | 0.90 | 2.30 | 50% | 60% |
| Queen of the South | WWWDL | 1.60 | 2.30 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| Queen of the South Win | 68% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.52 |
| Queen of the South 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 53% | 1.78 |
| Queen of the South HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
| 1-2 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.