Home › League stats › Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 › Bergantiños vs Coruxo
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · Spain
Bergantiños vs Coruxo prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bergantiños host Coruxo in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 (Spain) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bergantiños 3–1 Coruxo.
Going into the match, Bergantiños had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 10. Coruxo had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Bergantiños's last 10 and 8 of Coruxo's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bergantiños averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Coruxo averaged 1.17 scored and 1.33 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from Bergantiños and 1.02 from Coruxo. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 17%, against 45%, 28% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bergantiños (green) and Coruxo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bergantiños | WWLWW | 2.20 | 1.00 | 40% | 70% |
| Coruxo | DLDWW | 1.50 | 1.40 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.83 |
| Bergantiños Win | 45% | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| 1-0 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.