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Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Spain
Berceo vs La Calzada prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Berceo host La Calzada in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 (Spain) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Berceo to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Final score: Berceo 5–1 La Calzada.
Going into the match, Berceo had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 13. La Calzada had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Berceo's last 10 and 4 of La Calzada's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Berceo averaged 3.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 5 matches; away from home La Calzada averaged 1.00 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.53 goals from Berceo and 1.05 from La Calzada. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 13%. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Berceo (green) and La Calzada (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berceo | WWLWW | 2.20 | 1.30 | 70% | 90% |
| La Calzada | WLWWW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.