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Division Intermedia · Paraguay
Benjamín Aceval vs Independiente F.b.c. prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Benjamín Aceval host Independiente F.b.c. in the Division Intermedia (Paraguay) on 6 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Benjamín Aceval 2–3 Independiente F.b.c..
Going into the match, Benjamín Aceval had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 18. Independiente F.b.c. had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Benjamín Aceval's last 10 and 4 of Independiente F.b.c.'s last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Benjamín Aceval averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Independiente F.b.c. averaged 1.92 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Benjamín Aceval and 1.74 from Independiente F.b.c.. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 44%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Benjamín Aceval (green) and Independiente F.b.c. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamín Aceval | LWLLD | 1.30 | 1.80 | 80% | 70% |
| Independiente F.b.c. | DLWWW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Jul 2026 · Independiente F.b.c. 1–2 Benjamín Aceval
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.35 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Benjamín Aceval Win | 42% | 2.15 |
| Benjamín Aceval HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.