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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal
Benfica U23 vs Moreirense U23 prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Benfica U23 host Moreirense U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.49, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Benfica U23 1–1 Moreirense U23.
Going into the match, Benfica U23 had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 15. Moreirense U23 had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 8, with 17 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Benfica U23's last 10 and 6 of Moreirense U23's last 8; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Benfica U23 averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Moreirense U23 averaged 1.75 scored and 1.50 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Benfica U23 and 2.05 from Moreirense U23. From that it rates a home win at 22%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 55%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Benfica U23 (green) and Moreirense U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica U23 | LWWWL | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
| Moreirense U23 | WDDDW | 2.13 | 1.13 | 75% | 63% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.49 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Benfica U23 Win | 38% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga Revelação U23 matches that day
- Leixões U23 vs Estoril U23 · 19 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.51 · FT 2–2 - Vizela U23 vs Felgueiras U23 · 19 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 0–2 - Santa Clara U23 vs Sporting Braga U23 · 19 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Liga Revelação U23
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 · FT 1–1