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Segunda Liga · Portugal
Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932 prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Benfica B host Felgueiras 1932 in the Segunda Liga (Portugal) on 12 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Benfica B 1–0 Felgueiras 1932.
Going into the match, Benfica B had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 6. Felgueiras 1932 had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Benfica B's last 10 and 6 of Felgueiras 1932's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Benfica B averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Felgueiras 1932 averaged 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.78 goals from Benfica B and 0.68 from Felgueiras 1932. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 40% and an away win at 27%, against 43%, 28% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Benfica B (green) and Felgueiras 1932 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica B | WLLDW | 1.50 | 0.60 | 30% | 40% |
| Felgueiras 1932 | WLLWD | 1.00 | 0.80 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.