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Serie B · Italy
Benevento vs Cesena prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Benevento host Cesena in the Serie B (Italy) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Benevento 2–0 Cesena.
Going into the match, Benevento had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Cesena had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Benevento's last 10 and 5 of Cesena's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Benevento averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Cesena averaged 0.43 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.49 goals from Benevento and 0.99 from Cesena. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 24%, against 49%, 28% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Benevento (green) and Cesena (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Benevento Win | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.