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NPFL · Nigeria

Bendel Insurance vs Barau FC prediction and preview

4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2No priceFinal score 4–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Bendel Insurance host Barau FC in the NPFL (Nigeria) on 4 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Barau FC to win or draw. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Bendel Insurance 4–1 Barau FC.

Going into the match, Bendel Insurance had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 17. Barau FC had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Bendel Insurance's last 10 and 5 of Barau FC's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bendel Insurance averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Barau FC averaged 0.86 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Bendel Insurance and 1.23 from Barau FC. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 28%. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Bendel Insurance (green) and Barau FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form40% – 60%
Attack54% – 46%
Defence18% – 82%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength43% – 56%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Bendel InsuranceLWLWL1.701.7080%80%
Barau FCDWDWD1.700.6050%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

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