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Second League · Macedonia
Belasica vs Pelister prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Belasica host Pelister in the Second League (Macedonia) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Pelister Win — Pelister to win. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 53% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Belasica 0–0 Pelister.
Going into the match, Belasica had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 6. Pelister had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Belasica's last 10 and 3 of Pelister's last 10; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Belasica averaged 0.89 goals scored and 0.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Pelister averaged 2.22 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Belasica and 0.86 from Pelister. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 31%, against 18%, 26% and 56% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 31%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Belasica (green) and Pelister (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.66 |
| Pelister Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Pelister HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| 0-1 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.