Home › League stats › UEFA Nations League › Belarus vs San Marino
UEFA Nations League · International
Belarus vs San Marino prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Belarus host San Marino in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Belarus 4–0 San Marino.
Going into the match, Belarus had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 5. San Marino had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 4, with 2 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Belarus's last 4 and 2 of San Marino's last 4; 2 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Belarus averaged 3.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 2 matches; away from home San Marino averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 87% for Belarus, 9% for the draw and 5% for San Marino once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Belarus (green) and San Marino (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus | DLDW | 1.50 | 1.25 | 50% | 50% |
| San Marino | LLLL | 0.50 | 3.50 | 50% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS No | 69% | 1.36 |
| Belarus HT & FT | 68% | 1.40 |
| Belarus 1st Half Win | 67% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.