Home › League stats › UEFA Nations League › Belarus vs Finland
UEFA Nations League · International
Belarus vs Finland prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Belarus host Finland in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Finland to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Belarus 1–0 Finland.
Going into the match, Belarus had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Finland had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with 10 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Belarus's last 5 and 2 of Finland's last 5; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Belarus averaged 3.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Finland averaged 2.67 scored and 2.00 conceded across 3.
The 1X2 prices imply about 23% for Belarus, 28% for the draw and 48% for Finland once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Belarus (green) and Finland (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 5 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Sep 2026 · Finland 0–0 Belarus
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Finland Win | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.