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Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA vs Liège prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Beerschot VA host Liège in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Beerschot VA 5–1 Liège.
Going into the match, Beerschot VA had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 12. Liège had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Beerschot VA's last 10 and 6 of Liège's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Beerschot VA averaged 2.57 goals scored and 1.57 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Liège averaged 2.64 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.99 goals from Beerschot VA and 1.42 from Liège. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 15%, against 63%, 21% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Beerschot VA (green) and Liège (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beerschot VA | WWWWW | 2.60 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
| Liège | WLDDL | 2.80 | 1.40 | 60% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Beerschot VA Win | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.