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1 Lyga · Lithuania

Be1 NFA vs Dainava prediction and preview

9 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.80Market probability 55%Final score 2–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Be1 NFA host Dainava in the 1 Lyga (Lithuania) on 9 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Be1 NFA 2–2 Dainava.

Going into the match, Be1 NFA had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 10. Dainava had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 12 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Be1 NFA's last 10 and 5 of Dainava's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Be1 NFA averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Dainava averaged 1.64 scored and 0.82 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.24 goals from Be1 NFA and 0.99 from Dainava. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 28%, against 47%, 25% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 38%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Be1 NFA (green) and Dainava (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form79% – 21%
Attack86% – 14%
Defence86% – 14%
Head-to-head71% – 29%
Goals57% – 43%
Overall strength73% – 26%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Be1 NFAWWWWW1.601.0030%50%
DainavaLWLDL0.801.2050%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No77%1.21
Double Chance 1275%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals73%1.30
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals62%1.53
BTTS Yes55%1.68
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.80
Under 10.5 Corners54%1.73
Be1 NFA Win46%1.91

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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