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Azadegan League · Iran
Be'sat Kermanshah vs Naft Bandar Abbas prediction and preview
5 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Be'sat Kermanshah host Naft Bandar Abbas in the Azadegan League (Iran) on 5 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Naft Bandar Abbas to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Be'sat Kermanshah 2–1 Naft Bandar Abbas.
Going into the match, Be'sat Kermanshah had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Naft Bandar Abbas had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Be'sat Kermanshah's last 10 and 1 of Naft Bandar Abbas's last 10; 2 and 0 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Be'sat Kermanshah averaged 0.57 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Naft Bandar Abbas averaged 0.57 scored and 0.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Be'sat Kermanshah and 0.64 from Naft Bandar Abbas. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 24%, against 34%, 31% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Be'sat Kermanshah (green) and Naft Bandar Abbas (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Be'sat Kermanshah | LWDLL | 0.50 | 0.80 | 10% | 20% |
| Naft Bandar Abbas | DWDLD | 0.50 | 0.30 | 10% | 0% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.23 |
| Double Chance 12 | 68% | 1.32 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.45 |
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 57% | 1.63 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
| Naft Bandar Abbas Win | 36% | 2.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.