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Frauen Bundesliga · Germany
Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bayer Leverkusen W host Werder Bremen W in the Frauen Bundesliga (Germany) on 2 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bayer Leverkusen W 3–2 Werder Bremen W.
Going into the match, Bayer Leverkusen W had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. Werder Bremen W had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Bayer Leverkusen W's last 10 and 4 of Werder Bremen W's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bayer Leverkusen W averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.25 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Werder Bremen W averaged 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Bayer Leverkusen W and 1.56 from Werder Bremen W. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 39%, against 55%, 23% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bayer Leverkusen W (green) and Werder Bremen W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen W | DWLWL | 2.10 | 1.20 | 70% | 80% |
| Werder Bremen W | WDWLW | 1.90 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Bayer Leverkusen W 1–3 Werder Bremen W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Bayer Leverkusen W Win | 55% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.