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Non League Premier - Southern South · England
Bath City vs Gosport Borough prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bath City host Gosport Borough in the Non League Premier - Southern South (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bath City 1–2 Gosport Borough.
Going into the match, Bath City had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Gosport Borough had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bath City's last 10 and 9 of Gosport Borough's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bath City averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Gosport Borough averaged 1.71 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.41 goals from Bath City and 0.93 from Gosport Borough. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 24%, against 57%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 42%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bath City (green) and Gosport Borough (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | WWWWL | 1.40 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
| Gosport Borough | LDWDW | 1.70 | 1.50 | 90% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Bath City Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.61 |
| Bath City HT & FT | 39% | 2.40 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.