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Premier League · Belarus
Bate Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bate Borisov host Slavia Mozyr in the Premier League (Belarus) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.41, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bate Borisov 2–1 Slavia Mozyr.
Going into the match, Bate Borisov had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 15. Slavia Mozyr had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Bate Borisov's last 10 and 3 of Slavia Mozyr's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bate Borisov averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Slavia Mozyr averaged 1.18 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Bate Borisov and 1.07 from Slavia Mozyr. From that it rates a home win at 31%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 36%, against 34%, 31% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bate Borisov | LLDLL | 0.70 | 1.50 | 30% | 40% |
| Slavia Mozyr | LLWLD | 1.70 | 0.90 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Slavia Mozyr 1–1 Bate Borisov
- 29 Apr 2026 · Bate Borisov 2–0 Slavia Mozyr
- 15 Apr 2026 · Slavia Mozyr 0–1 Bate Borisov
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.35 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.41 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 64% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.56 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
| Slavia Mozyr Win | 35% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.