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Torneo Federal A · Argentina
Bartolomé Mitre vs Boca Unidos prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bartolomé Mitre host Boca Unidos in the Torneo Federal A (Argentina) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bartolomé Mitre 0–1 Boca Unidos.
Going into the match, Bartolomé Mitre had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Boca Unidos had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Bartolomé Mitre's last 10 and 3 of Boca Unidos's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bartolomé Mitre averaged 0.70 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Boca Unidos averaged 1.10 scored and 1.40 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.82 goals from Bartolomé Mitre and 0.69 from Boca Unidos. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 39% and an away win at 27%, against 52%, 29% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bartolomé Mitre (green) and Boca Unidos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartolomé Mitre | LDWLL | 0.30 | 1.20 | 20% | 20% |
| Boca Unidos | WDLWD | 1.50 | 1.00 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Oct 2026 · Boca Unidos 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre
- 31 May 2026 · Boca Unidos 2–1 Bartolomé Mitre
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Bartolomé Mitre Win | 52% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.