Home › League stats › Premier League › Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC
Premier League · Wales
Barry Town vs Haverfordwest County AFC prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barry Town host Haverfordwest County AFC in the Premier League (Wales) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Barry Town had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 19. Haverfordwest County AFC had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Barry Town's last 10 and 4 of Haverfordwest County AFC's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barry Town averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Haverfordwest County AFC averaged 0.38 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Barry Town and 0.98 from Haverfordwest County AFC. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 19%, against 47%, 26% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | WLWLL | 2.10 | 1.90 | 70% | 70% |
| Haverfordwest County AFC | WLLLL | 1.20 | 1.00 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Barry Town 1–1 Haverfordwest County AFC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Llandudno · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50