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National League · England
Barrow vs Wealdstone prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barrow host Wealdstone in the National League (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barrow 2–1 Wealdstone.
Going into the match, Barrow had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 12. Wealdstone had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Barrow's last 10 and 5 of Wealdstone's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barrow averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Wealdstone averaged 1.18 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Barrow and 0.86 from Wealdstone. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 18%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barrow (green) and Wealdstone (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow | WWWLD | 1.80 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Wealdstone | DWLLW | 1.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Barrow Win | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.