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Primera B · Colombia
Barranquilla vs Quindio prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barranquilla host Quindio in the Primera B (Colombia) on 11 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Quindio to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barranquilla 4–1 Quindio.
Going into the match, Barranquilla had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Quindio had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Barranquilla's last 10 and 4 of Quindio's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barranquilla averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Quindio averaged 0.80 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.07 goals from Barranquilla and 1.06 from Quindio. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 34%, against 28%, 28% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barranquilla (green) and Quindio (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barranquilla | DDLLL | 1.00 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
| Quindio | WWLLD | 0.90 | 0.70 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 72% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.77 |
| Quindio Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Quindio HT & FT | 29% | 3.30 |
| 0-0 | 14% | 6.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.